Wednesday, November 5, 2008

The high price of gas led to the low reliability of credit

Jeff Rubin, Chief Economist at CIBC World Markets, in a recent report, is now saying that the current recession is caused by high oil prices. Defaulting mortgages are only a symptom of the high oil prices. We should be blaming the underlying cause--higher oil prices--rather than the symptom. These higher oil prices caused Japan and the Eurozone to enter into a recession even before the most recent financial problems hit. Higher oil prices started four of the last five world recessions; we shouldn't be too surprised if they started this one also.


Figure 1 - Shows that four out of the past five recessions have followed spikes in oil prices

more at The Oil Drum
(reported by Gail the Actuary)